Sean t rcp twitter - Jun 1, 2022 · “OK, let's settle this: Worst Star Wars main storyline movie. I'll give my take at the end, but I do think a case can be made for any of these.”

 
Sean t rcp twitterSean t rcp twitter - “@billscher @ThePlumLineGS I still think the biggest threats to Ds in a non-filibuster universe are things that can get to the core of their power infrastructure: national right to work, school vouchers, limits on public sector unions, tort reform, etc.”

“@DamonLinker Except the GOP didn't accommodate Trump. He won the nomination. In part because the GOP establishment kept bickering among itself trying to find someone to go one-on-one with Trump, backing Jeb. for reasons known only to God, and splitting the opposition until it was too late.”Log in. Sign upSince Twitter seems reasonably likely to go away in the next couple of years, my 2c: Obvs the site is miserable, but there's an entire generation of top-notch young analysts like @JMilesColeman who probably would have gone unnoticed but for Twitter. 1/ 31 Oct 2022 01:42:44“Could just be a bump in the road, but feels like things could get real, real quick. Or maybe it's just general PTSD from COVID-related stuff.”“It just drives me nuts when people say "the lesson of the Great Recession is the danger of doing too little rather than too much." It was just a different type of downturn. 5/”“This is really straightforward, and it's one of those things that separates serious people from unserious ones in my mind. Heck, even if the blame ultimately falls with the GOP voters, there's no justification for becoming a …“This happened in all the Senate races. Pryor was in the game against Cotton through much of the summer, but basically got the same vote share he'd been polling at from May onward; Cotton got all the undecideds, almost all of whom disapproved of the president.”“This remains the key chart for how big GOP House gains will be: Biden vote share by the number of districts with that vote share. At R+3 or so nationally, the GOP starts to climb the levy that Democrats built with Biden +10 (or so) districts. 1/”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersAug 3, 2022 · “This is really straightforward, and it's one of those things that separates serious people from unserious ones in my mind. Heck, even if the blame ultimately falls with the GOP voters, there's no justification for becoming a party to this loon potentially winning. Not that hard.” We all know that some people are just predisposed to say stupid things. Still, it’s one thing to see it on Twitter and another to hear it from the mouth of the person sleeping next to you. It’s not your fault.Nov 10, 2022 · “One of the quiet stories under the hood is that Republicans are looking like they'll win the popular vote. Probably a popular vote swing of 5% (depending on how CA votes work out), swinging about 2% of the chamber. IOW, the generic polls are likely to be about spot on. Why? 1/” “@_Chris_Golding_ From what I understand this happened at the end of the fourth quarter, and it took a while to figure out exactly what was going on. All coaches (who are just parents) were horrified, but this is something there needs to be clear guidance on at a …“One problem Biden has is that he doesn't have much "crawl-over-broken-glass-twice-to-vote-for-him" type support. That inoculated Obama and Trump from a total wipeout. He really could completely collapse.”... sean, Dget norms for iti, Adolescent clothing, 841n dd wrt repeater, Dove grey color code, Moonwalker thriller dance, Hopkins kovalev 24/7 hbo, Recycling ...Home » Tweets to Sean T at RCP. Tweets to Sean T at RCP. Twitter handle: @seantrende. Name: Sean T at RCP. Location: Followers: 46728. Bio: ... Co-Author, Almanac Am. Pols. 2014. Recovering Attorney. If you think this has a happy ending, you haven't been paying attention. Tweets to this user: From @DLeonhardt Sun, Sep 15, 2019 at 5:18 pm.“@DamonLinker Except the GOP didn't accommodate Trump. He won the nomination. In part because the GOP establishment kept bickering among itself trying to find someone to go one-on-one with Trump, backing Jeb. for reasons known only to God, and splitting the opposition until it was too late.”Log in. Sign upMar 3, 2022 · Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. “Aside from the expense, this is a significant risk to human life in a disproportionately elderly body that already has some known cases. If he does this, the House should expel him (and anyone else who goes along with him).”Sean Trende is the Senior Elections Analyst for RealClearPolitics. He is the author of "The Lost Majority: Why the Future of Government Is Up for Grabs and Who Will Take It," and …“The people hunting “deplorables” ARE THE BAD GUYS. Seriously, it’s about an uprising against a bunch of effete, entitled international elites in cars with EU plates led by a Mississippian in a body-suit apparently modeled …“@RadioFreeTom @ThePlumLineGS I'm saying a restoration might have been possible by taking the "grudging acceptance" route. I think it's probably a nonstarter having taken the civil war route. Which I think is probably a righteous tack, but let's be real about the consequences. 4/4”Dr. Sean T at RCP, Ph.D.'s Threads – Thread Reader App. Aug 9 • 14 tweets • 3 min read. Save as PDF. Today is my son Judson's 16th Birthday.“@NickRiccardi @billscher $100B (at last estimate) for something that may or may not have an appreciable impact on NY-SF traffic isn't really cheapskating. It's like 1/5th of the cost of building the entire interstate system!”9 Kas 2022 ... Live updating with the latest developments from the 2022 midterm elections, including the results in Arizona and Nevada, as Democrats ...In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersIn this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @ Protected Tweets @Sean Hannity frequently interviews politicians, candidates, pundits and controversial figures. Specific guests who appear frequently on his show include Senator John McCain, former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani and former Massachuset...“.@FiveThirtyEight nowcast up to 32.2% Trump. So we're at Russian Roulette with bullets in two cylinders.”“Mason has been singing the same song over and over again for the past 20m in his little 8 y/o boy voice and one nice thing about having three is that I recognize that voice (and maybe the singing) will be gone in the blink of an eye. So when he stops, I ask him to sing it again.”“@jibberegg @Nate_Cohn @ZachWeiner The version I came across didn't have the attribution, but I am happy to have it attached (by my replying, this should bump the comment up to the top of the comment chain). Thanks!”Log in. Sign upIn this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @ Protected Tweets @In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“@Izengabe_ @fawfulfan More to the point, the typical way we do a quick-and-dirty assessment of a state's political orientation is PVI, and Kentucky is a point redder than Vermont is blue. If one wants to make a nuanced critique of CPVI here that's fine, but at that point you've lost the plot.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersNov 6, 2018 · Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende Sr. Elections Analyst at RCP. Co-Author, Almanac Am. Pols. 2014. Recovering Attorney. If you think this has a happy ending, you haven't been paying attention. Jun 1, 2022 · “Any of the remaining three presents a strong case, to my mind. I don't think it's AotC though. OK, fine, "I don't like sand" is arguably the worst or second worst line in all Star Wars history. But if you pull the Padme/Anakin romance and ninja Yoda stuff, it isn't terrible. 2/” “So many other low points, like horses on Star Destroyers, or Chewie fake dying, or C3P0 fake losing his memory, or the weird Kimiji storyline, or a Palpatine appropriating the Skywalker name. But here's the thing, most of the problems were not of Ep. IX's making. 7/”“Trying to think of a more consequential shift than Barrett for Ginsburg. Maybe Black for Van Devanter in the 30s, but Roberts already flipped. Thomas for Marshall? Ginsburg-for-White next year cancels, Souter goes left.Maybe Goldberg for Frankfurter, giving Warren 5 solid votes.”When stars like Bryan Cranston and Aaron Paul or Sean Hayes and Eric McCormack remind us that they're off-screen besties, it casts a warm glow over the legacy of their shows.Just astonishing. https://t.co/O0qszz9IqG" / Twitter. Sean T at RCP is a free elf. @SeanTrende. This is sort of how I felt seeing some of the shifts in Appalachia in 2010, or blue collar areas in 2016.Jul 27, 2020 · “There are obviously answers to all of this -- if there weren't I would not have led with him losing four of five times or so. The point is, though, that he's not THAT far off where he needs to be to be back in this. 9/9” Hillary's thoughts on the election results: "It turns out women enjoy having human rights, and we vote." twitter. 154. 1. r/hillaryclinton. Join. • 21 days ago. Hillary Clinton on Nancy Pelosi stepping down: "The best to ever do it. Thank you, Madam Speaker."Log in. Sign up The Amazon broadcast briefly zoomed in on Payton and allowed fans (and possibly opposing teams) to get a great view of his play sheet.“@kkondik Yeah, the shift in the non-urban, non -Deep South over the past 20 years is probably the most consequential — and least well understood — shifts of our lifetime.”Jul 8, 2022 · “As I've said before, I think the alternatives offered up by the Tea Party purifiers and populists have largely been appalling. But if you look back over the past 40 years, its not hard to understand how this happened. 17/17” “The truth is, I think the Biden will have a better chance at re-election than the environment (whatever it is in 2024) will suggest, because Trump will make the election about him rather the environment. Should Trump lose the primary, he'll go nuclear on the GOP nominee.”“@AdamAwalsh @JayCostTWS That and the collective action problem of ppl staying in to try to get the 1-on-1 with Trump.”Find Sean Trende's email address, contact information, LinkedIn, Twitter, other social media and more. For PR Pros Overview; Media Database; ... The information revealed so far about Twitter's internal deliberations shows that the company's content moderation decisions were often justified on grounds that the decision-makers themselves found ...In this conversation. Verified account“I don't know that there is much more that we realistically could have done in Afghanistan, but it's just really sad to watch this if you're old enough to remember ink-stained fingers, Karzai in his cool hat, and the general air of hopefulness that once prevailed there.”“Any of the remaining three presents a strong case, to my mind. I don't think it's AotC though. OK, fine, "I don't like sand" is arguably the worst or second worst line in all Star Wars history. But if you pull the Padme/Anakin romance and ninja Yoda stuff, it isn't terrible. 2/”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersWhen stars like Bryan Cranston and Aaron Paul or Sean Hayes and Eric McCormack remind us that they're off-screen besties, it casts a warm glow over the legacy of their shows.Nov 7, 2018 · Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. It described it as being 100% in, but in fact, those precincts are partially reporting. There are eight counties still at ... If you are a fan of political commentary and news analysis, tuning in to watch Sean Hannity live can be a valuable experience. When you watch Sean Hannity live, you gain access to real-time updates on breaking news stories and current event...01 Nov 2022 23:09:39RT @davidshor: To be more pointed - Catalist data shows that non-college voters of color have trended *enormously* toward the GOP since 2012, by similar magnitudes as non-college whites (particularly on a logit scale!). In this conversation. Verified account“Most people on this site sort into the relatively extreme positions of the two major parties: Almost no restrictions and government-funded, or made illegal. But when analyzing the impact of this opinion, just remember that most voters don't sort neatly into either camp. 2/”I don't know what Kamaru Usman was supposed to be doing tomorrow morning (Sat., Oct., 21, 2023), but he was never intended to square off against Khamzat Chimaev in the co-main event of UFC 294.Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart.Jun 4, 2022 · “This happened in all the Senate races. Pryor was in the game against Cotton through much of the summer, but basically got the same vote share he'd been polling at from May onward; Cotton got all the undecideds, almost all of whom disapproved of the president.” “This is insane. 20 years ago the all-in at Duke Law (tuition, living expenses, books) was about $40k. I don’t think the education provided has improved *that* much.”Jun 15, 2022 · @SeanTrende This is sort of how I felt seeing some of the shifts in Appalachia in 2010, or blue collar areas in 2016. Except this I genuinely didn't think I'd see for another 20 years or so. Just astonishing. 12:40 AM · Jun 15, 2022 236 96 1,051 81 Bookmarks “@speechboy71 I can absolutely buy he's solid. Honestly, I just have a lawyer friend on Facebook claiming this is obviously unethical of Mueller, and I'm trying to figure out independently what the issues are. I don't know why people are going DefCon 1 …Articles by Sean Trende on Muck Rack. Find Sean Trende's email address, contact information, LinkedIn, Twitter, other social media and more. For PR Pros. . Overview. …9 Kas 2022 ... Live updating with the latest developments from the 2022 midterm elections, including the results in Arizona and Nevada, as Democrats ...“The truth is, I think the Biden will have a better chance at re-election than the environment (whatever it is in 2024) will suggest, because Trump will make the election about him rather the environment. Should Trump lose the primary, he'll go nuclear on the GOP nominee.”Sean T at RCP. @SeanTrende. So the shifts in New Jersey should be much more concerning to Democrats than the more-or-less uniform swing we saw in Virginia. …“Anyway,that's why VIII is the worst main storyline film. It destroys too much of the main storyline to leave any hope of wrapping things up in the final film. In fact, if I learned that Johnson was intentionally sabotaging the series, it would make more sense than what came out.”On April 25, 2022, Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, struck a tentative deal, purchasing Twitter for $44 billion. While he isn’t the first billionaire to step into a media-adjacent space, the move leaves users and members of the general p...Sean Hannity has been married to Jill Rhodes since 1993. Hannity is a FOX News Channel host, conservative political commentator and author. Rhodes formerly worked as a columnist for the Huntsville Times. The pair have two children together.[Sean T at RCP, RT'ed by Nate Cohn] Reminder: don’t be a crosstab truther. You’re dealing with small sample sizes, sometimes subjected to multidimensional weighting. They’re …In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“And we're probably just interested in that statement for the actual fact that Trump tried to commandeer the Secret Service vehicle. Now there are about a billion exceptions to the hearsay rule. 6/”“On hearsay: First, it doesn't matter for right now, because this isn't a trial. At the same time, the hearsay rule isn't just some legal mumbo-jumbo, it's rooted in the common sense notion that you're more skeptical of evidence offered second- or third-hand. But first:”“Aside from the expense, this is a significant risk to human life in a disproportionately elderly body that already has some known cases. If he does this, the House should expel him (and anyone else who goes along with him).”What's the score of the ku game, Kansas vs. iowa state, Humboldt fault line map, Bse plus, Tyson invitational 2022, Biblograph, Purple pastel kawaii wallpaper, Westgate trailers springfield missouri, Mitch lightfoot, Martinsville driver averages, Travis jordan new orleans, Wvu football vs kansas, Fated to my forbidden alpha episode 1, Ku vs texas tech basketball 2022

Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende Sr. Elections Analyst at RCP. Co-Author, Almanac Am. Pols. 2014. Recovering Attorney. If you think this has a happy ending, you haven't been paying attention.. Is cox down las vegas

Sean t rcp twitter5 ways to prevent landslides

“Most people on this site sort into the relatively extreme positions of the two major parties: Almost no restrictions and government-funded, or made illegal. But when analyzing the impact of this opinion, just remember that most voters don't sort neatly into either camp. 2/”“My take after three years in a poli sci grad program reading "the literature": People should use "suggests" a whole lot more, "demonstrates," "proves," "shows," "confirms" less. You can just give me my doctorate now for that compelling insight.”“I don't know that there is much more that we realistically could have done in Afghanistan, but it's just really sad to watch this if you're old enough to remember ink-stained fingers, Karzai in his cool hat, and the general air of hopefulness that once prevailed there.”“This is really straightforward, and it's one of those things that separates serious people from unserious ones in my mind. Heck, even if the blame ultimately falls with the GOP voters, there's no justification for becoming a …“@speechboy71 I can absolutely buy he's solid. Honestly, I just have a lawyer friend on Facebook claiming this is obviously unethical of Mueller, and I'm trying to figure out independently what the issues are. I don't know why people are going DefCon 1 …“@Vermeullarmine Favorable in 2020, very favorable in 2022. But they are likely to only have one good cycle, because either Trump wins in 2020, or 2022 is a midterm with a Dem POTUS. If GOP gets up to 54, pretty good job of holding through 2024.”Sean T at RCP. Follow @SeanTrende. Nov 8 • 8 tweets • 2 min read Bookmark . Save as PDF . My Authors My basic view of this election hasn't changed over the cycle; it's the same frame I carry into every election: they are referenda on the party in power, not choices. 1/Theresa M. Caridi; Cynthia De la Garza-Ramos; Olga R. Brook; Lee A. Learman; Jessica Opoku-Anane; Debbie Phipps; and others. Cited in Scopus: 2.Jun 2, 2022 · “Anyway,that's why VIII is the worst main storyline film. It destroys too much of the main storyline to leave any hope of wrapping things up in the final film. In fact, if I learned that Johnson was intentionally sabotaging the series, it would make more sense than what came out.” “McAuliffe starting to get some more results above the line. Also, moving the threshold up to 85% reporting. City of Richmond hasn't started to come in yet, and Fairfax is still largely outstanding. This is still very interesting.”“Which was a huge miscalculation on his part (I remember some offical basically saying "no Republican president would be crazy enough to undo this." Oops.) Anyway ...In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users01 Nov 2022 23:09:39“The trouble is that in 95% of the country traveling by train is inefficient to the point of being a genuinely dumb choice.”Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. It described it as being 100% in, but in fact, those precincts are partially reporting. There are eight counties still at ...“@KevinMKruse It's possible, but he'd have to be pretty sure the leak would flip a vote, or think that it would blunt the impact of the decision in June by spreading out the news cycle (the latter is more plausible imo).”“Especially if you wind up with Bernie taking his (hypothetical) 15% everywhere. Personally I think three is the real danger number, but four with Bernie, Warren, Biden, and Harris doing a demographic division of …In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @ Protected Tweets @A new book about Sen. Mitt Romney details his interactions with Fox News host Sean Hannity. Romney and Hannity were allies, but the TV host turned on the …Sean T at RCP. Follow @SeanTrende. Nov 8 • 8 tweets • 2 min read Bookmark . Save as PDF . My Authors My basic view of this election hasn’t changed over the cycle; it’s the same frame I carry into every election: they are referenda on the party in power, not choices. 1/In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersSean Hannity frequently interviews politicians, candidates, pundits and controversial figures. Specific guests who appear frequently on his show include Senator John McCain, former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani and former Massachuset...In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersSean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende The losses this term were really aggressive asks on the VRA and ISL. and even there Kav and Roberts left a trail of crumbs on how to get to the desired outcome next time.Jan 26, 2022 · Log in. Sign up A new book about Sen. Mitt Romney details his interactions with Fox News host Sean Hannity. Romney and Hannity were allies, but the TV host turned on the senator over his anti-MAGA posture. Romney ...Log in. Sign up“@BenjySarlin @_Jon_Green @EsotericCD Don't want to belabor the point, but I do keep coming back to: This looks waaaaaay different from exurban OH than NYC. Out here we aren't using our excess hospital capacity, we're testing entire prison populations, our statewide death total is about 3% of NYC daily, etc. 1/”Jun 1, 2022 · “My take: You can make a case for Phantom Menace largely because, as Machete Order proves, you can pretty much watch the entire series without it and not miss anything. But it isn't a horrible movie, though I'm the weirdo who sort of liked the Palpatine political machinations.” “@JenRodbowers @BenjySarlin The R won by 10 points in a district that went for Romney by 2 and Clinton by 7. I don't want to overstate the importance but I don't think you can just dismiss it as "the district leaned R anyway" either.”“This is really straightforward, and it's one of those things that separates serious people from unserious ones in my mind. Heck, even if the blame ultimately falls with the GOP voters, there's no justification for becoming a party to this loon potentially winning. Not that hard.”Log in. Sign up“But Kaine and Warner are pretty young, so his political career is already done. His private sector prospects are . . . limited right now. This probably isn't an impeachable offense. 100% apart from doing the right thing, why do we think he leaves? 2/2”“We're reaching the end of the second quarter, which is when election outcomes are more-or-less baked in. At this point, you really have to have Republicans as overwhelming favorites to take the House with solid margins, and strong favorites to take the Senate.”“Fox and Friends” airs Monday through Friday from 6 a.m. to 9 a.m. EST on the Fox News Channel. Viewers can connect to “Fox and Friends” on Facebook, Twitter, Email and Instagram. “Fox and Friends” provides a link directly on their website ...“This is insane. 20 years ago the all-in at Duke Law (tuition, living expenses, books) was about $40k. I don’t think the education provided has improved *that* much.”Oct 26, 2022 · “Look, it sounds like the debate is an utter disaster for him. But few will watch it, and it's a hard thing to go on the attack about without inspiring a backlash. This hurts Fetterman, but I don't think things have shifted all that dramatically.” “Anyway,that's why VIII is the worst main storyline film. It destroys too much of the main storyline to leave any hope of wrapping things up in the final film. In fact, if I learned that Johnson was intentionally sabotaging the series, it …“So many other low points, like horses on Star Destroyers, or Chewie fake dying, or C3P0 fake losing his memory, or the weird Kimiji storyline, or a Palpatine appropriating the Skywalker name. But here's the thing, most of the problems were not of Ep. IX's making. 7/”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @ Protected Tweets @“@AdamAwalsh @JayCostTWS That and the collective action problem of ppl staying in to try to get the 1-on-1 with Trump.”Despite the tremendous amount of planning that goes into the Super Bowl, things don’t always go as expected. Not to mention, with folks taking to Twitter and TikTok these days, anything is apt to go viral — for better or worse — on the nigh...“So is anyone else sort of freaked out by these supply chain issues? Went to Macy's to get shoes; the guy said he usually had 8,000 pairs but today only had 400. The brake rotors for my wife's car were on backorder. The shelves at the paint store were half-empty. 1/”Log in. Sign upIn this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“@Graniteprof @dandrezner @ErinBurnettCNN People aren't marching on the capitol building, so maybe "backlash" is too strong in our current climate, but yeah.”Nov 10, 2022 · “One of the quiet stories under the hood is that Republicans are looking like they'll win the popular vote. Probably a popular vote swing of 5% (depending on how CA votes work out), swinging about 2% of the chamber. IOW, the generic polls are likely to be about spot on. Why? 1/” Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart.“I mean, Cameron County 50-50 with half the vote counted? Obama beat Romney here by 30 points. He won Willacy County by 40 (which is also tied right now). I mean later votes will probably shift things but the fact that this is even close in a congressional race . . .”“"Safe spaces," for example, is a HORRIBLE branding tool. Everyone has a place where they want to be able to be themselves. It's why so many married men take pride and have a strong sense of ownership in their "man caves." 2/”Jun 23, 2022 · “The truth is, I think the Biden will have a better chance at re-election than the environment (whatever it is in 2024) will suggest, because Trump will make the election about him rather the environment. Should Trump lose the primary, he'll go nuclear on the GOP nominee.” What occurred wasn’t a failure of the polls. As with Brexit, it was a failure of punditry. Pundits saw Clinton with a 1.9 percent lead in Pennsylvania and assumed she would win. The correct ...“Most people on this site sort into the relatively extreme positions of the two major parties: Almost no restrictions and government-funded, or made illegal. But when analyzing the impact of this opinion, just remember that most voters don't sort neatly into either camp. 2/”“Think of it this way: We're in a river channel right now with levies on either side, and the river is rising. As long as we stay in the channel seat losses will be surprisingly muted. But if the river rises much higher, all hell breaks loose …“@billscher @ThePlumLineGS I still think the biggest threats to Ds in a non-filibuster universe are things that can get to the core of their power infrastructure: national right to work, school vouchers, limits on public sector unions, tort reform, etc.”[Sean T at RCP, RT'ed by Nate Cohn] Reminder: don’t be a crosstab truther. You’re dealing with small sample sizes, sometimes subjected to multidimensional weighting. They’re …In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersLog in. Sign up“@micahcohen @DouthatNYT In a broader sense, these things tend to be known and are frequently debated among political scientists; but too often when they get pushed into the general debate those assumptions and debates fall by the wayside. See also the "authoritarianism" and "racial resentment" indices.”Recovering Att'y. Married to. @emytrende. , dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. Sean T at RCP is a free elf. 2020/03/19/coronavirus-effect-economy-life-society-analysis-covid-135579.[Sean T at RCP, RT'ed by Nate Cohn] Reminder: don’t be a crosstab truther. You’re dealing with small sample sizes, sometimes subjected to multidimensional weighting. They’re …Oct 22, 2022 · “I think these analyses provide useful context on where this election stands. The biggest limitation on these analyses isn't that the GOP holds a large number of seats to begin. It is that they describe linear relationships between seat gain which probably don't hold this cycle.” “One of the quiet stories under the hood is that Republicans are looking like they'll win the popular vote. Probably a popular vote swing of 5% (depending on how CA votes work out), swinging about 2% of the chamber. IOW, the generic polls are likely to be about spot on. Why? 1/”“@billscher @ThePlumLineGS I still think the biggest threats to Ds in a non-filibuster universe are things that can get to the core of their power infrastructure: national right to work, school vouchers, limits on public sector unions, tort reform, etc.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersIn this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersMay 27, 2022 · “If you don't want to know about the horse race, it's a big internet! Lots of people write about policy. In fact, there are more of them than there are of us, in part because there's no real mystery about the types of policy the GOP will at least nominally pursue. 3/” “On the uncontested House races, it is obviously proper to try to estimate vote totals for those seats. It's weird that people are suddenly super keyed in on this known-for-decades-but-always-ignore-issue, but whatevs. There are 10R uncontested and 2D. BUT . …“@sahilkapur @RobGeorge @EsotericCD On 2), I never understood the white hot, burning hatred of Buttigieg among younger progressives. But it is very much there.”“@JenRodbowers @BenjySarlin The R won by 10 points in a district that went for Romney by 2 and Clinton by 7. I don't want to overstate the importance but I don't think you can just dismiss it as "the district leaned R anyway" either.”“@Vermeullarmine Favorable in 2020, very favorable in 2022. But they are likely to only have one good cycle, because either Trump wins in 2020, or 2022 is a midterm with a Dem POTUS. If GOP gets up to 54, pretty good job of holding through 2024.”“@geoffreyvs Or at least, either Al Gore lost or Donald Trump lost, depending what the model claims to predict. Can't have picked them both correctly.”VA-10 was carried by McAuliffe by like 3 points, so if that flips it is beyond something we've seen in our lifetime and Rs are going to have 250+ seats.“OK, let's settle this: Worst Star Wars main storyline movie. I'll give my take at the end, but I do think a case can be made for any of these.”. Quentin grimes stats, Landrey shamet, Will arkansas make the ncaa tournament, Texas longhorns softball schedule 2022, K state baseball scores, Adam willits, Rejoice keith and kristyn getty chords, What are youth groups, What is affine transformation.